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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute0.72+0.77vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.67+1.21vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.40-0.13vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-0.91vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.51-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77Webb Institute0.720.5%1st Place
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3.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.670.1%1st Place
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2.87Syracuse University-0.400.2%1st Place
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3.09SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
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4.07SUNY Stony Brook-1.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Heilshorn | 52.7% | 26.7% | 13.2% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Gus Schoenbucher | 10.9% | 19.8% | 25.0% | 26.3% | 18.0% |
| Alec Wyers | 17.3% | 23.5% | 25.7% | 22.3% | 11.2% |
| Ryan Magill | 13.1% | 21.6% | 24.0% | 25.7% | 15.6% |
| Adam Zeng | 6.0% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 20.0% | 53.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.