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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute0.72+0.76vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.40+0.90vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+0.05vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.67-0.79vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.51-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Webb Institute0.720.5%1st Place
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2.9Syracuse University-0.400.1%1st Place
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3.05SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
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3.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.670.1%1st Place
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4.07SUNY Stony Brook-1.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Heilshorn | 52.7% | 27.2% | 13.2% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Alec Wyers | 15.0% | 25.0% | 25.7% | 23.2% | 11.1% |
| Ryan Magill | 14.7% | 20.1% | 24.8% | 26.1% | 14.3% |
| Gus Schoenbucher | 11.8% | 19.2% | 24.5% | 24.7% | 19.8% |
| Adam Zeng | 5.8% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 20.5% | 53.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.