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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.11+0.55vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.67+1.26vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+0.11vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.51+0.11vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.40-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55Webb Institute1.110.6%1st Place
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3.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.670.1%1st Place
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3.11SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
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4.11SUNY Stony Brook-1.510.0%1st Place
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2.97Syracuse University-0.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burke Kanemasu | 62.7% | 24.4% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Gus Schoenbucher | 8.6% | 20.6% | 24.9% | 28.0% | 17.9% |
| Ryan Magill | 12.4% | 19.9% | 27.5% | 24.5% | 15.7% |
| Adam Zeng | 3.1% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 20.6% | 52.9% |
| Alec Wyers | 13.2% | 26.2% | 24.2% | 23.6% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.