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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.79+5.66vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.71+5.00vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.05+10.21vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.29+4.90vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.92+1.24vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+1.76vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.08+2.63vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.86+2.29vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.50-0.83vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.50-2.14vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.67-3.55vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.23-2.97vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.88-2.38vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-5.78vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.29-6.20vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.79-5.14vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.41-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.0Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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13.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.050.0%1st Place
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8.9University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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6.24University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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9.63Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.17Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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7.86Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.45Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.03Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.62U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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8.8Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.86University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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12.28Eckerd College2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Barry | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Jaimie Chicoine | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 14.8% | 32.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Amy Hawkins | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Patten | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Eliza Richartz | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% |
| Emily Maxwell | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Emily Lambert | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% |
| Mayumi Roller | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Catherine Swanson | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% |
| Sky Adams (Brown Sailor) | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.