Race 10C

hatch-brown-2024

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Emma Cowles 14.1% 12.7% 13.3% 11.5% 9.0% 7.9% 7.4% 6.3% 5.7% 4.0% 3.0% 1.7% 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Cordelia Burn 5.2% 5.3% 6.0% 6.0% 6.6% 5.3% 6.3% 5.5% 6.5% 7.0% 6.6% 7.4% 6.5% 6.2% 5.5% 4.9% 3.1%
Porter Bell 2.4% 2.6% 2.1% 2.2% 2.7% 3.6% 3.1% 2.7% 4.0% 4.6% 5.2% 5.3% 5.9% 7.5% 9.6% 12.0% 24.5%
Blake Behrens 10.9% 10.1% 10.6% 9.2% 8.5% 7.7% 7.8% 8.1% 6.1% 5.1% 4.6% 3.8% 3.7% 1.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.2%
Lucy Brock 5.9% 6.0% 5.9% 5.9% 6.7% 7.8% 6.5% 6.4% 6.7% 6.4% 7.0% 6.7% 5.2% 6.2% 4.6% 4.2% 2.2%
Sam Monaghan 3.7% 4.1% 4.0% 4.4% 4.5% 4.7% 5.1% 4.2% 5.6% 5.0% 5.4% 8.5% 7.6% 6.7% 8.3% 9.3% 9.0%
Chase Decker 11.6% 10.8% 10.5% 10.2% 10.7% 8.3% 7.0% 6.7% 6.7% 4.0% 4.2% 2.9% 2.7% 1.5% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3%
Luke Zylinski 5.1% 4.5% 5.0% 5.7% 4.8% 5.1% 6.4% 5.7% 6.2% 6.0% 6.3% 6.3% 6.8% 6.4% 7.0% 7.1% 5.8%
Ethan Danielson 3.1% 3.6% 3.5% 4.1% 4.2% 4.9% 4.7% 5.7% 4.9% 6.2% 6.5% 5.9% 7.5% 7.7% 9.4% 9.2% 8.9%
William Kulas 5.8% 7.1% 6.3% 5.9% 5.9% 6.3% 6.9% 6.6% 6.5% 7.4% 6.9% 6.6% 6.0% 5.2% 4.7% 3.4% 2.6%
Shea Smith 4.2% 4.3% 4.5% 4.8% 4.9% 4.5% 5.9% 5.7% 5.7% 7.2% 6.8% 6.1% 6.9% 7.7% 7.6% 6.9% 6.5%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 6.6% 7.0% 7.2% 6.2% 7.7% 7.7% 6.6% 6.6% 6.2% 6.8% 5.9% 6.2% 5.2% 5.6% 3.8% 3.2% 1.5%
Henry Lee 4.8% 4.2% 3.5% 4.5% 5.3% 4.6% 5.0% 5.1% 5.9% 6.2% 6.6% 7.3% 7.2% 6.8% 8.2% 8.2% 6.7%
Ethan Burt 3.5% 3.5% 3.9% 3.5% 4.0% 5.0% 4.8% 5.5% 5.5% 5.6% 6.3% 7.4% 6.2% 8.4% 8.6% 8.8% 9.3%
Jack Roman 5.7% 5.9% 5.0% 5.8% 6.2% 6.5% 6.1% 6.9% 6.5% 6.6% 6.4% 6.1% 7.0% 6.5% 5.7% 4.6% 2.7%
William Hurd 2.9% 3.4% 2.9% 3.8% 3.6% 4.0% 4.4% 4.8% 5.3% 5.2% 5.4% 5.3% 6.9% 8.2% 9.8% 10.8% 13.4%
Drew Mastovsky 4.7% 4.8% 5.7% 6.4% 4.9% 6.2% 6.2% 7.8% 6.0% 6.7% 6.9% 6.7% 7.1% 6.8% 4.7% 5.5% 3.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.