← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute1.11+0.60vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+1.19vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.410.00vs Predicted
-
4Syracuse University-0.40-0.93vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Stony Brook-1.51-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.6Webb Institute1.110.6%1st Place
-
3.19SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
-
3.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.410.1%1st Place
-
3.07Syracuse University-0.400.1%1st Place
-
4.15SUNY Stony Brook-1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burke Kanemasu | 59.6% | 26.0% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Magill | 9.9% | 20.6% | 26.6% | 26.9% | 16.0% |
| Josh Beavis | 13.6% | 22.9% | 25.9% | 24.8% | 12.8% |
| Alec Wyers | 12.3% | 22.3% | 26.1% | 24.8% | 14.5% |
| Adam Zeng | 4.6% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 20.0% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.