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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.41+2.05vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+1.20vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.11-1.43vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.40-0.98vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.51-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.410.1%1st Place
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3.2SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
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1.57Webb Institute1.110.6%1st Place
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3.02Syracuse University-0.400.1%1st Place
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4.16SUNY Stony Brook-1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Beavis | 12.8% | 22.2% | 26.9% | 23.5% | 14.6% |
| Ryan Magill | 9.7% | 20.6% | 26.3% | 27.3% | 16.1% |
| Burke Kanemasu | 61.2% | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Alec Wyers | 12.8% | 24.4% | 23.5% | 26.4% | 12.9% |
| Adam Zeng | 3.5% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 19.8% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.