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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.11+0.59vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+1.19vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.40-0.01vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.41-0.92vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.51-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59Webb Institute1.110.6%1st Place
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3.19SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
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2.99Syracuse University-0.400.1%1st Place
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3.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.410.1%1st Place
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4.15SUNY Stony Brook-1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burke Kanemasu | 59.7% | 25.9% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Magill | 9.9% | 20.7% | 26.6% | 26.6% | 16.2% |
| Alec Wyers | 13.6% | 23.2% | 25.9% | 24.9% | 12.4% |
| Josh Beavis | 12.2% | 22.1% | 25.8% | 25.3% | 14.6% |
| Adam Zeng | 4.6% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 19.8% | 56.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.