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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.11+0.59vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-1.51+2.19vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+0.17vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.41-0.97vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.40-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59Webb Institute1.110.6%1st Place
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4.19SUNY Stony Brook-1.510.0%1st Place
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3.17SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
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3.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.410.1%1st Place
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3.02Syracuse University-0.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burke Kanemasu | 59.5% | 26.4% | 10.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Adam Zeng | 3.9% | 6.6% | 12.8% | 19.9% | 56.8% |
| Ryan Magill | 11.4% | 19.0% | 27.4% | 26.0% | 16.2% |
| Josh Beavis | 11.8% | 24.7% | 25.1% | 25.2% | 13.2% |
| Alec Wyers | 13.4% | 23.3% | 24.0% | 26.3% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.