Race 1A

washington-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Cooper Walshe 34.0% 28.0% 22.0% 9.8% 3.7% 1.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Janov 35.5% 29.3% 19.3% 9.6% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Camden Ward 4.5% 6.2% 11.9% 18.1% 17.7% 17.1% 13.7% 6.3% 2.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Max Kleha 8.5% 12.7% 16.3% 18.1% 19.3% 13.3% 7.7% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 4.5% 7.1% 9.1% 11.5% 14.3% 18.7% 16.7% 10.4% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Paula Cabot Jaume 1.0% 1.2% 2.6% 4.7% 4.7% 10.2% 14.0% 18.3% 18.0% 12.2% 9.4% 3.6% 0.1%
Owen Ward 8.5% 12.0% 12.6% 17.4% 20.0% 15.0% 8.6% 4.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinn Gabel 1.3% 1.1% 2.5% 4.2% 5.4% 7.2% 13.0% 17.7% 16.7% 16.2% 9.1% 5.2% 0.4%
Eric Garvey 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 3.0% 4.2% 4.9% 8.1% 13.3% 16.6% 18.7% 16.5% 10.3% 1.2%
Daniel Dickson 0.4% 0.2% 0.8% 1.7% 2.1% 3.0% 4.7% 7.7% 12.8% 13.0% 20.2% 29.1% 4.3%
Brooke Murphy-Petri 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 1.2% 2.4% 4.2% 6.6% 10.6% 14.2% 19.4% 19.8% 17.6% 2.3%
Tamryn Whyte 0.5% 0.3% 0.9% 0.7% 2.0% 2.8% 5.4% 8.3% 10.5% 15.4% 22.1% 27.9% 3.2%
Aidan English 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 1.5% 2.3% 6.0% 88.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.