Race 2A

washington-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Cooper Walshe 32.7% 29.8% 21.2% 9.2% 4.8% 1.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Janov 36.3% 30.1% 17.9% 9.4% 4.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Camden Ward 4.3% 6.9% 11.6% 16.7% 18.0% 17.2% 13.9% 6.6% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Owen Ward 7.8% 9.7% 14.5% 18.8% 18.2% 15.8% 9.2% 4.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 4.4% 6.9% 9.2% 12.9% 13.4% 20.7% 15.1% 10.6% 4.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Quinn Gabel 0.8% 1.1% 2.3% 4.1% 4.7% 6.6% 14.7% 17.1% 17.8% 14.3% 11.1% 5.2% 0.2%
Paula Cabot Jaume 1.7% 1.9% 2.7% 3.7% 6.8% 8.4% 13.8% 18.0% 17.7% 13.1% 8.6% 3.4% 0.2%
Max Kleha 9.8% 11.4% 16.5% 19.5% 18.9% 13.5% 7.1% 2.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Garvey 0.7% 1.2% 1.9% 2.2% 3.8% 5.6% 7.0% 14.9% 17.1% 17.7% 15.6% 11.0% 1.3%
Daniel Dickson 0.5% 0.0% 1.0% 1.7% 2.1% 3.0% 4.4% 7.5% 11.7% 15.7% 19.7% 28.3% 4.4%
Tamryn Whyte 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 2.2% 3.4% 7.1% 8.6% 12.8% 16.7% 19.9% 24.1% 3.3%
Brooke Murphy-Petri 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 1.2% 2.6% 2.7% 6.5% 9.4% 12.1% 17.5% 21.9% 22.0% 2.5%
Aidan English 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.6% 0.5% 1.7% 2.7% 5.7% 88.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.