← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University2.39+1.26vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08+2.17vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.35-0.69vs Predicted
-
4Villanova University0.91+0.46vs Predicted
-
5Washington College0.59-0.04vs Predicted
-
7Drexel University-0.92+0.83vs Predicted
-
8Princeton University0.34-2.65vs Predicted
-
9Princeton University-1.09-0.95vs Predicted
-
10St. John's College-1.90-0.38vs Predicted
-
11Monmouth University-2.13-1.05vs Predicted
-
12University of Delaware-2.46-1.57vs Predicted
-
13University of Maryland-1.45-4.10vs Predicted
-
14University of Maryland-4.73-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.26George Washington University2.390.3%1st Place
-
4.17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.1%1st Place
-
2.31U. S. Naval Academy2.350.3%1st Place
-
4.46Villanova University0.910.1%1st Place
-
4.96Washington College0.590.1%1st Place
-
7.83Drexel University-0.920.0%1st Place
-
5.35Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
-
8.05Princeton University-1.090.0%1st Place
-
9.62St. John's College-1.900.0%1st Place
-
9.95Monmouth University-2.130.0%1st Place
-
10.43University of Delaware-2.460.0%1st Place
-
8.9University of Maryland-1.450.0%1st Place
-
12.71University of Maryland-4.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Janov | 34.8% | 29.7% | 19.4% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 8.8% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 19.7% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Walshe | 32.9% | 29.8% | 19.4% | 11.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 7.3% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 18.8% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 10.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Ward | 6.3% | 6.7% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 17.7% | 13.5% | 7.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 19.4% | 18.2% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Jasper Waldman | 5.8% | 5.3% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Gabel | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 19.2% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Murphy-Petri | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 15.1% | 17.7% | 22.1% | 18.9% | 2.1% |
| Daniel Dickson | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 21.4% | 24.2% | 4.1% |
| Evan Walter | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 22.8% | 31.5% | 5.8% |
| Eric Garvey | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 20.2% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 0.8% |
| Aidan English | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 87.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.