Race 4A

washington-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ryan Janov 34.7% 29.8% 18.0% 10.9% 4.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cooper Walshe 34.4% 29.0% 18.5% 11.3% 4.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Kleha 8.1% 11.9% 17.8% 17.9% 19.0% 13.9% 7.6% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Camden Ward 5.3% 7.9% 10.1% 15.4% 19.5% 17.6% 12.8% 7.9% 1.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 4.2% 6.5% 10.1% 12.5% 14.8% 17.6% 16.6% 12.1% 4.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Owen Ward 8.3% 10.2% 14.8% 18.6% 18.4% 16.0% 7.4% 4.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinn Gabel 1.5% 1.3% 3.0% 3.7% 4.8% 8.0% 13.0% 17.5% 16.0% 17.6% 9.4% 3.9% 0.3%
Paula Cabot Jaume 1.5% 1.3% 3.6% 3.5% 6.5% 8.2% 15.3% 20.0% 17.4% 12.9% 7.0% 2.7% 0.1%
Evan Walter 0.2% 0.3% 1.0% 0.6% 1.8% 2.6% 3.6% 5.1% 9.0% 12.5% 19.7% 37.4% 6.2%
Eric Garvey 0.7% 1.1% 1.5% 3.5% 2.7% 5.6% 9.6% 13.4% 19.9% 17.1% 16.3% 8.0% 0.6%
Daniel Dickson 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 0.5% 1.3% 3.3% 5.9% 8.5% 13.4% 17.2% 22.7% 22.3% 3.3%
Brooke Murphy-Petri 0.5% 0.3% 0.7% 1.6% 2.2% 3.5% 6.7% 8.4% 15.3% 17.9% 21.3% 19.1% 2.5%
Aidan English 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.4% 2.2% 2.8% 6.4% 87.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.