Race 5A

washington-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Camden Ward 7.2% 9.8% 13.5% 14.3% 15.9% 15.5% 12.8% 6.0% 3.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Cooper Walshe 43.4% 28.9% 14.8% 6.3% 4.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Kleha 10.4% 15.2% 19.1% 18.1% 15.7% 10.6% 6.2% 3.3% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Paula Cabot Jaume 1.7% 1.9% 3.0% 3.7% 5.6% 8.7% 14.0% 17.2% 17.3% 13.0% 8.0% 4.8% 1.1%
Avery Canavan 15.6% 17.8% 16.7% 17.6% 14.6% 10.3% 5.2% 1.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Ward 11.1% 13.2% 14.9% 18.9% 13.8% 13.7% 7.7% 4.9% 1.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 7.1% 7.4% 9.9% 11.2% 14.2% 19.7% 13.2% 9.8% 5.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Eric Garvey 0.7% 1.1% 2.9% 1.9% 3.6% 4.6% 9.3% 12.7% 17.3% 16.0% 14.6% 11.7% 3.6%
Quinn Gabel 1.4% 2.4% 2.6% 3.8% 4.6% 6.3% 12.0% 16.6% 15.5% 15.0% 12.4% 5.2% 2.2%
Daniel Dickson 0.4% 0.6% 1.0% 1.6% 2.4% 1.7% 4.6% 7.4% 11.0% 12.9% 18.1% 21.2% 17.1%
Brooke Murphy-Petri 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 1.2% 2.4% 4.0% 7.1% 9.8% 13.1% 17.6% 18.0% 14.8% 10.2%
Tamryn Whyte 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 1.8% 2.5% 5.6% 7.8% 10.2% 14.0% 16.9% 21.9% 16.5%
Veronica Van Rossen 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 1.4% 1.8% 2.6% 4.7% 7.9% 10.4% 20.3% 49.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.