← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.50+6.62vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+5.34vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College3.71+4.00vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+3.92vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island3.92+1.14vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College2.41+6.28vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University3.67+0.14vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.23+0.74vs Predicted
-
9Yale University3.50-1.04vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.79-3.40vs Predicted
-
11Stanford University3.08-1.35vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.68vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont2.86-2.46vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.05-0.62vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania2.79-4.40vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University2.72-5.01vs Predicted
-
17University of South Florida3.29-8.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.62Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
-
7.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
-
7.0Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
7.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
-
6.14University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
-
12.28Eckerd College2.410.0%1st Place
-
7.14Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
8.74Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
7.96Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
6.6Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
-
9.65Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
-
10.32U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
-
10.54University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
-
13.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.050.0%1st Place
-
10.6University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
-
10.99Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
-
8.79University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Maxwell | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Patten | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Mayumi Roller | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sky Adams (Brown Sailor) | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 19.7% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Eliza Richartz | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% |
| Jaimie Chicoine | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 31.9% |
| Amanda Johnson | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.6% |
| Meghan Pesch | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.