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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+0.76vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.80+1.53vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.04vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.16-0.80vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-1.63vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.52-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Cornell University2.3851.7%1st Place
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3.53Fordham University0.8011.7%1st Place
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4.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.297.5%1st Place
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3.2University of Pennsylvania1.1614.4%1st Place
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3.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9211.2%1st Place
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5.09SUNY Maritime College-0.523.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 51.7% | 28.2% | 13.6% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Keller | 11.7% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 22.4% | 21.3% | 9.3% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 7.5% | 10.6% | 16.5% | 19.4% | 27.6% | 18.4% |
| Adra Ivancich | 14.4% | 19.5% | 23.9% | 20.6% | 16.6% | 4.9% |
| Deana Fedulova | 11.2% | 20.5% | 20.8% | 22.7% | 17.3% | 7.5% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 16.2% | 59.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.