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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.35+1.06vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08+1.96vs Predicted
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3Villanova University0.91+1.26vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.26-0.32vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.59-1.20vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.34-1.71vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.92-0.19vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-2.07+1.13vs Predicted
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10St. John's College-1.90-0.12vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-1.09-2.76vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland-1.45-3.17vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-2.13-2.62vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-2.93-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06U. S. Naval Academy2.350.4%1st Place
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3.96St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.1%1st Place
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4.26Villanova University0.910.1%1st Place
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3.68George Washington University1.260.2%1st Place
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4.8Washington College0.590.1%1st Place
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5.29Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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7.81Drexel University-0.920.0%1st Place
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10.13University of Delaware-2.070.0%1st Place
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9.88St. John's College-1.900.0%1st Place
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8.24Princeton University-1.090.0%1st Place
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8.83University of Maryland-1.450.0%1st Place
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10.38Monmouth University-2.130.0%1st Place
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11.68University of Maryland-2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Walshe | 44.2% | 27.7% | 14.8% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 11.7% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 9.5% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 17.7% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 15.3% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Ward | 7.9% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 5.4% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 19.4% | 20.9% | 13.4% |
| Brooke Murphy-Petri | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 19.1% | 10.9% |
| Quinn Gabel | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 12.5% | 18.6% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Eric Garvey | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 15.4% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 3.5% |
| Daniel Dickson | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 21.3% | 18.3% |
| Veronica Van Rossen | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 20.5% | 49.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.