Race 8A

washington-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Cooper Walshe 43.6% 26.9% 17.3% 6.9% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 5.6% 7.2% 9.6% 12.7% 15.0% 18.6% 14.4% 9.0% 5.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Owen Ward 9.6% 13.7% 14.8% 17.1% 16.5% 13.2% 9.9% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Kleha 12.9% 16.0% 15.0% 18.7% 14.8% 12.0% 7.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Camden Ward 8.0% 9.6% 13.3% 13.1% 16.0% 18.0% 12.6% 6.3% 2.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Avery Canavan 14.6% 18.9% 19.6% 16.0% 13.6% 8.6% 5.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Paula Cabot Jaume 2.2% 2.4% 3.3% 3.3% 6.4% 9.4% 13.4% 17.4% 16.9% 13.4% 7.3% 3.4% 1.2%
Evan Walter 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 1.8% 2.5% 2.3% 6.1% 8.1% 11.9% 15.8% 25.7% 23.3%
Brooke Murphy-Petri 0.4% 1.1% 1.4% 2.0% 2.8% 3.0% 4.9% 10.2% 11.4% 16.9% 18.6% 17.0% 10.3%
Eric Garvey 0.7% 1.4% 2.1% 3.8% 3.6% 3.3% 9.1% 14.4% 17.1% 17.1% 14.1% 8.4% 4.9%
Veronica Van Rossen 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 1.0% 2.7% 3.7% 6.5% 7.0% 14.1% 22.2% 41.3%
Daniel Dickson 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 1.7% 1.6% 2.4% 5.4% 7.3% 11.7% 14.6% 18.4% 18.2% 17.2%
Quinn Gabel 1.1% 1.7% 2.2% 3.3% 4.1% 6.6% 12.8% 17.3% 17.5% 15.9% 10.8% 4.9% 1.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.