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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.26+2.62vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.34+3.33vs Predicted
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3Villanova University0.91+1.20vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.35-1.96vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-1.06vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.59-1.19vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.92-0.33vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-1.09-0.94vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-2.07-0.14vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-1.45-2.25vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-2.13-1.95vs Predicted
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13St. John's College-1.90-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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5.33Princeton University0.340.1%1st Place
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4.2Villanova University0.910.1%1st Place
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2.04U. S. Naval Academy2.350.4%1st Place
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3.94St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.1%1st Place
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4.81Washington College0.590.1%1st Place
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7.67Drexel University-0.920.0%1st Place
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8.06Princeton University-1.090.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Delaware-2.070.0%1st Place
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8.75University of Maryland-1.450.0%1st Place
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10.05Monmouth University-2.130.0%1st Place
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9.67St. John's College-1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Canavan | 14.2% | 18.6% | 17.6% | 18.0% | 15.2% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 10.7% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Walshe | 44.8% | 27.3% | 14.4% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 11.5% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Ward | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 17.7% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| Quinn Gabel | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 4.5% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 17.8% | 22.0% | 26.3% |
| Eric Garvey | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 17.5% | 18.9% | 15.3% | 9.9% |
| Daniel Dickson | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 22.2% | 31.6% |
| Brooke Murphy-Petri | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 21.6% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.