Race 1B

washington-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lucas Masiello 15.0% 15.4% 18.0% 18.2% 18.0% 9.7% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Bonacci 9.3% 9.0% 13.8% 14.1% 18.8% 15.0% 12.0% 6.2% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Asher Green 19.0% 21.9% 18.6% 15.5% 14.5% 6.7% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Ziman 23.1% 21.1% 17.2% 17.9% 11.1% 6.4% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Haidar 24.6% 21.6% 19.4% 14.9% 9.8% 6.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sawyer Barnard 1.7% 2.4% 3.2% 4.7% 6.1% 12.5% 18.6% 16.3% 16.3% 12.6% 5.6%
Yanni Tsetsekos 3.1% 3.4% 3.0% 4.1% 6.8% 13.7% 19.1% 16.8% 14.8% 9.8% 5.4%
Laura MacMillan 1.1% 1.1% 1.3% 1.7% 2.7% 4.7% 9.9% 13.8% 14.4% 24.6% 24.7%
Caleb Briggs 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 1.4% 1.8% 4.4% 4.4% 9.4% 12.7% 18.1% 45.5%
Nicolas Pouliquen 1.2% 1.8% 2.4% 2.9% 4.6% 11.0% 11.3% 16.1% 20.1% 18.5% 10.1%
Abigail Brooks 1.3% 1.4% 2.3% 4.6% 5.8% 9.7% 13.6% 17.5% 18.9% 16.2% 8.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.