Race 2B

washington-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Asher Green 19.9% 22.2% 19.0% 16.9% 13.5% 5.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Bonacci 9.1% 9.2% 13.2% 15.2% 18.2% 16.1% 10.6% 6.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Lucas Masiello 14.7% 15.3% 17.4% 18.1% 16.5% 10.7% 5.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Robert Ziman 22.7% 21.3% 18.1% 16.1% 13.2% 5.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Haidar 24.5% 21.5% 19.0% 15.3% 10.9% 5.7% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sawyer Barnard 1.7% 2.1% 3.6% 5.4% 5.4% 13.3% 17.1% 17.3% 16.1% 12.1% 5.9%
Yanni Tsetsekos 2.9% 3.6% 2.9% 3.7% 7.0% 15.9% 17.3% 14.6% 17.4% 10.6% 4.1%
Laura MacMillan 0.9% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 2.6% 4.2% 10.8% 12.9% 16.6% 21.3% 26.6%
Abigail Brooks 1.6% 2.1% 2.4% 2.5% 4.6% 9.1% 12.3% 18.8% 17.9% 17.7% 11.0%
Caleb Briggs 0.5% 0.3% 0.9% 1.5% 2.1% 4.3% 6.1% 11.1% 11.2% 19.6% 42.4%
Nicolas Pouliquen 1.5% 1.2% 2.0% 3.9% 6.0% 9.5% 13.6% 15.4% 18.5% 18.4% 10.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.