Race 3B

washington-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lucas Masiello 13.7% 14.5% 14.0% 17.8% 18.1% 10.7% 7.1% 3.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Alex Haidar 21.9% 19.7% 20.3% 14.0% 11.4% 7.9% 3.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Ziman 19.5% 20.1% 20.3% 14.7% 11.8% 8.3% 4.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Bonacci 8.1% 8.7% 8.4% 13.2% 15.8% 16.5% 14.0% 8.9% 4.9% 1.4% 0.1%
Asher Green 20.9% 20.9% 16.6% 14.6% 11.1% 9.2% 4.1% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinn Harrington 8.0% 7.4% 9.1% 12.3% 13.7% 17.0% 14.7% 9.7% 5.4% 2.4% 0.3%
Nicolas Pouliquen 1.5% 2.5% 2.2% 2.2% 3.0% 5.2% 9.9% 16.3% 18.8% 21.6% 16.8%
Sawyer Barnard 2.2% 2.1% 2.7% 3.3% 5.4% 9.1% 14.5% 17.1% 18.5% 17.2% 7.9%
Abigail Brooks 1.3% 2.2% 2.3% 2.4% 2.7% 5.0% 9.3% 16.7% 18.7% 23.5% 15.9%
Yanni Tsetsekos 2.3% 1.7% 3.4% 4.3% 5.7% 8.1% 13.9% 17.2% 21.0% 15.4% 7.0%
Caleb Briggs 0.6% 0.2% 0.7% 1.2% 1.3% 3.0% 4.7% 7.2% 10.9% 18.2% 52.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.