Race 4B

washington-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lucas Masiello 13.3% 16.0% 13.8% 18.4% 16.4% 11.2% 7.0% 2.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Quinn Harrington 7.0% 8.2% 10.6% 10.5% 14.4% 17.1% 14.2% 10.5% 5.9% 1.4% 0.2%
Alex Haidar 20.2% 19.0% 19.1% 15.6% 12.1% 8.0% 4.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Bonacci 7.9% 8.7% 9.6% 11.5% 15.9% 18.0% 13.1% 9.5% 4.3% 1.4% 0.1%
Asher Green 20.9% 18.9% 18.3% 15.2% 12.1% 7.9% 4.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Ziman 22.9% 20.0% 18.3% 14.3% 11.3% 7.6% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicolas Pouliquen 1.4% 2.5% 2.5% 2.4% 2.3% 5.4% 10.8% 15.0% 19.3% 21.7% 16.7%
Sawyer Barnard 2.1% 2.0% 2.5% 4.3% 4.7% 10.2% 13.2% 18.3% 17.7% 17.0% 8.0%
Abigail Brooks 1.7% 1.9% 1.8% 3.1% 2.6% 4.7% 9.4% 16.4% 18.8% 23.7% 15.9%
Yanni Tsetsekos 2.0% 2.5% 2.8% 4.2% 6.5% 7.1% 14.7% 16.8% 20.4% 16.0% 7.0%
Caleb Briggs 0.6% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 1.7% 2.8% 5.1% 6.4% 11.4% 18.4% 52.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.