Race 5B

washington-fall

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Joseph Bonacci 7.6% 10.0% 11.5% 13.9% 21.3% 18.5% 9.9% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.2%
Lucas Masiello 16.5% 16.6% 18.3% 18.2% 13.7% 9.5% 5.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Ziman 21.5% 21.6% 19.6% 16.6% 11.9% 5.8% 2.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Haidar 22.1% 20.5% 19.0% 16.5% 12.3% 6.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Asher Green 23.5% 20.5% 18.2% 15.9% 11.6% 6.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicolas Pouliquen 0.8% 1.4% 2.4% 3.9% 4.4% 8.3% 13.1% 15.4% 19.4% 18.0% 12.9%
Abigail Brooks 1.7% 2.9% 2.4% 3.2% 4.8% 8.8% 14.0% 19.4% 17.2% 15.9% 9.7%
Yanni Tsetsekos 2.4% 2.6% 3.2% 3.6% 8.5% 14.3% 18.1% 17.1% 15.3% 11.1% 3.8%
Laura MacMillan 1.0% 1.0% 1.5% 1.7% 2.6% 5.3% 7.5% 11.5% 16.9% 21.9% 29.1%
Sawyer Barnard 2.2% 2.5% 3.2% 5.1% 6.7% 12.3% 18.0% 18.4% 16.4% 10.7% 4.5%
Caleb Briggs 0.7% 0.4% 0.7% 1.4% 2.2% 4.1% 6.8% 9.6% 12.4% 21.9% 39.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.