Race 6B

washington-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lucas Masiello 14.6% 14.7% 18.4% 18.2% 19.0% 9.6% 3.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Joseph Bonacci 8.5% 11.1% 11.3% 15.1% 20.7% 15.5% 10.6% 5.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Alex Haidar 21.4% 19.4% 20.3% 18.3% 11.0% 7.3% 1.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicolas Pouliquen 0.7% 1.5% 2.8% 3.4% 2.6% 8.5% 12.3% 16.6% 20.8% 17.7% 13.1%
Asher Green 22.4% 21.7% 18.3% 15.8% 11.5% 6.8% 2.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Yanni Tsetsekos 1.7% 2.4% 3.5% 4.0% 7.3% 13.3% 16.6% 19.3% 15.9% 11.0% 5.0%
Sawyer Barnard 3.2% 3.2% 3.1% 3.3% 6.9% 15.1% 17.6% 17.8% 13.8% 11.7% 4.3%
Robert Ziman 24.4% 23.2% 18.3% 15.2% 10.7% 5.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Abigail Brooks 1.8% 1.6% 2.3% 2.7% 5.3% 9.3% 14.7% 16.3% 19.2% 16.0% 10.8%
Laura MacMillan 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 2.3% 2.8% 5.3% 10.7% 11.3% 15.6% 22.9% 26.4%
Caleb Briggs 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 1.7% 2.2% 3.9% 7.3% 9.9% 12.8% 20.3% 40.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.