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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.77+1.53vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+1.40vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.98-0.37vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.41+0.65vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-1.15vs Predicted
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6Cornell University0.82-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53University of Pennsylvania1.7729.9%1st Place
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3.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2714.6%1st Place
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2.63Fordham University1.9827.0%1st Place
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4.65SUNY Maritime College0.416.0%1st Place
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3.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.9911.5%1st Place
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3.93Cornell University0.8210.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 29.9% | 24.9% | 19.6% | 15.5% | 7.6% | 2.5% |
| James Kopack | 14.6% | 17.5% | 19.8% | 20.4% | 16.6% | 11.2% |
| Jacob Zils | 27.0% | 25.1% | 20.6% | 15.5% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Ben Hosford | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 20.4% | 43.5% |
| Reed McAllister | 11.5% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 18.4% | 23.5% | 18.2% |
| Amelia Neumann | 10.9% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 23.8% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.