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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+6.68vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.67+5.07vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.71+4.02vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.92+2.33vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.23+3.70vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.79+0.96vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.50+0.83vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.79+2.42vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.08+0.75vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-2.64vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.05+2.26vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.29-3.33vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.86-2.45vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.60vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.72-4.08vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.50-8.07vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.41-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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7.07Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.02Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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6.33University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.7Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.96Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.83Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.42University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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9.75Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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7.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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13.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.050.0%1st Place
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8.67University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.55University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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10.4U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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10.92Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
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7.93Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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12.16Eckerd College2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayumi Roller | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Amy Hawkins | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Amanda Johnson | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.4% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% |
| Caroline Patten | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Jaimie Chicoine | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 32.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 6.0% |
| Meghan Pesch | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% |
| Emily Maxwell | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Sky Adams (Brown Sailor) | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.