Race 7B

washington-fall

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lucas Masiello 13.1% 14.8% 16.8% 15.3% 18.2% 11.5% 6.2% 3.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Alex Haidar 22.4% 19.9% 15.6% 16.3% 12.4% 8.0% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinn Harrington 7.0% 6.2% 9.1% 10.5% 14.5% 17.4% 16.2% 10.8% 6.5% 1.6% 0.2%
Asher Green 18.4% 17.1% 19.4% 16.9% 12.8% 8.1% 5.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Joseph Bonacci 8.8% 9.1% 11.2% 12.2% 14.1% 17.0% 14.1% 8.8% 3.3% 1.2% 0.2%
Nicolas Pouliquen 1.2% 1.1% 1.9% 2.9% 3.4% 4.8% 9.0% 14.5% 20.8% 23.7% 16.7%
Yanni Tsetsekos 1.6% 4.6% 2.8% 2.4% 5.5% 10.0% 13.5% 18.3% 18.9% 16.6% 5.8%
Sawyer Barnard 2.6% 1.8% 2.9% 3.2% 5.9% 9.1% 13.2% 19.1% 17.4% 16.8% 8.0%
Abigail Brooks 1.1% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 3.0% 4.8% 10.7% 15.1% 19.2% 22.3% 16.9%
Caleb Briggs 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 1.6% 3.0% 4.5% 6.6% 11.8% 17.4% 52.2%
Robert Ziman 23.4% 22.3% 17.2% 17.1% 8.6% 6.3% 3.0% 1.2% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.