Race 8B

washington-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lucas Masiello 14.1% 14.4% 15.9% 15.8% 16.9% 11.9% 6.9% 3.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinn Harrington 7.5% 7.4% 10.5% 11.9% 12.6% 16.5% 14.7% 11.1% 6.4% 1.3% 0.1%
Alex Haidar 19.7% 20.6% 17.5% 15.0% 13.0% 9.4% 3.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Asher Green 19.6% 18.1% 17.0% 16.7% 13.2% 8.3% 5.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Robert Ziman 23.1% 21.1% 17.3% 15.1% 9.3% 9.0% 3.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Bonacci 8.2% 10.5% 9.9% 12.6% 16.1% 15.1% 12.5% 9.8% 3.5% 1.5% 0.3%
Nicolas Pouliquen 1.6% 2.0% 2.3% 2.7% 2.5% 5.2% 10.7% 14.8% 18.8% 24.3% 15.1%
Yanni Tsetsekos 2.2% 2.1% 3.0% 2.8% 6.3% 10.2% 15.5% 16.3% 16.3% 17.4% 7.9%
Sawyer Barnard 2.2% 2.2% 3.5% 3.4% 3.8% 7.0% 12.5% 18.4% 19.9% 17.2% 9.9%
Caleb Briggs 0.5% 0.2% 1.1% 0.9% 1.5% 2.5% 4.3% 7.2% 12.0% 17.2% 52.6%
Abigail Brooks 1.3% 1.4% 2.0% 3.1% 4.8% 4.9% 11.1% 15.5% 20.9% 20.9% 14.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.