Race 9B

washington-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lucas Masiello 13.7% 14.3% 14.6% 17.3% 18.1% 11.2% 6.2% 3.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Robert Ziman 22.3% 20.7% 19.1% 14.4% 10.6% 8.5% 2.4% 1.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Alex Haidar 19.5% 19.0% 19.3% 16.1% 11.4% 9.0% 4.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Quinn Harrington 6.6% 7.5% 8.7% 9.9% 15.4% 18.3% 15.3% 10.8% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5%
Asher Green 21.2% 20.3% 16.7% 14.2% 11.9% 8.0% 5.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Joseph Bonacci 8.4% 9.1% 10.7% 13.8% 14.1% 15.7% 13.3% 7.7% 5.5% 1.3% 0.4%
Yanni Tsetsekos 2.7% 3.3% 2.7% 4.0% 5.0% 8.7% 14.2% 18.0% 19.1% 13.8% 8.5%
Caleb Briggs 0.8% 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 1.5% 2.0% 3.6% 7.8% 12.4% 18.0% 51.5%
Sawyer Barnard 2.2% 2.1% 3.5% 3.8% 3.6% 6.4% 13.1% 19.0% 19.7% 17.5% 9.1%
Nicolas Pouliquen 1.4% 1.4% 1.9% 2.4% 4.5% 5.8% 10.4% 12.4% 18.8% 24.7% 16.3%
Abigail Brooks 1.2% 1.7% 1.8% 3.3% 3.9% 6.4% 11.5% 16.3% 18.0% 22.2% 13.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.