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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.24+7.50vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.76+8.29vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.30+5.42vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.40+0.81vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+2.22vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.52+1.67vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85-0.47vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.85+1.96vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-3.46vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.40-1.84vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.17-2.09vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.03-6.12vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.00-3.49vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.49-2.72vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara0.07-2.27vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.72-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.5University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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8.42University of Wisconsin1.300.1%1st Place
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4.81Tufts University2.400.2%1st Place
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7.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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7.67Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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6.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
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9.96University of Miami0.850.0%1st Place
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5.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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8.16College of Charleston1.400.1%1st Place
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8.91University of Rhode Island1.170.1%1st Place
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5.88University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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9.51Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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11.28SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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12.73University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
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10.6Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.2% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Talia Toland | 15.4% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.1% | 4.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Ella Withington | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Ashley Delisser | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Megan Gimple | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Jenna Probst | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 17.3% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 16.1% | 33.6% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.