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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.03+4.69vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.17+6.86vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.24+5.62vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+3.34vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.40-0.28vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.85+4.14vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-1.41vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.40-0.06vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.72+1.50vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85-3.46vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.52-3.33vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara0.07+0.57vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.00-3.54vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.76-3.68vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.30-6.40vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.49-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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8.86University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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8.62University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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7.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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4.72Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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10.14University of Miami0.850.0%1st Place
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5.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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7.94College of Charleston1.400.1%1st Place
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10.5Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
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7.67Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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12.57University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
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9.46Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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10.32University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Wisconsin1.300.1%1st Place
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11.44SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenna Probst | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Megan Gimple | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Talia Toland | 15.0% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Delisser | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 12.9% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.7% |
| Ella Withington | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 16.2% | 32.3% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 8.3% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.