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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.16+2.23vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38-0.24vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.80+0.51vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-0.66vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.01vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.52-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23University of Pennsylvania1.1613.9%1st Place
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1.76Cornell University2.3851.6%1st Place
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3.51Fordham University0.8011.0%1st Place
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3.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9213.0%1st Place
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3.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.298.2%1st Place
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5.16SUNY Maritime College-0.522.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adra Ivancich | 13.9% | 20.8% | 21.4% | 22.6% | 14.9% | 6.4% |
| Bridget Green | 51.6% | 28.3% | 13.9% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Keller | 11.0% | 16.4% | 21.1% | 22.4% | 20.3% | 8.8% |
| Deana Fedulova | 13.0% | 18.8% | 22.2% | 20.8% | 18.1% | 7.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 8.2% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 19.0% | 27.3% | 18.1% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 2.5% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 18.1% | 59.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.