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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+6.49vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.50+6.03vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.08+6.79vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+4.20vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.79+1.78vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+2.30vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.29+2.00vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.88+2.35vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+0.13vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.23-0.93vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.72+0.32vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.67-4.49vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.71-5.67vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.79-2.89vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.86-4.32vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.92-9.54vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.41-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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8.03Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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9.79Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
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8.2Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.78Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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9.0University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.35U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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9.07Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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11.32Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
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7.51Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.33Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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11.11University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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10.68University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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6.46University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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12.45Eckerd College2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Patten | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Emily Maxwell | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| Eliza Richartz | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 10.3% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Mayumi Roller | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
| Meghan Pesch | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 14.2% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sky Adams (Brown Sailor) | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.