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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+4.45vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.24+6.56vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan2.03+2.83vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.40+0.81vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+2.31vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85+0.56vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College0.49+4.39vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.52-0.54vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.30-0.64vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.40-1.83vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.00-1.48vs Predicted
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12University of Miami0.85-1.92vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.72-2.49vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara0.07-1.51vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.17-5.98vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.76-5.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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8.56University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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5.83University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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4.81Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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7.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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6.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
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11.39SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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7.46Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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8.36University of Wisconsin1.300.1%1st Place
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8.17College of Charleston1.400.1%1st Place
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9.52Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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10.08University of Miami0.850.0%1st Place
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10.51Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.49University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
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9.02University of Rhode Island1.170.1%1st Place
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10.49University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Jenna Probst | 12.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Talia Toland | 14.9% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Ella Withington | 7.8% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 17.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% |
| Ashley Delisser | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.2% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 30.7% |
| Megan Gimple | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.