Race 11A

women-atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Brooke Schmelz 12.5% 12.4% 11.6% 10.1% 11.0% 8.2% 7.2% 6.1% 4.4% 5.2% 4.3% 3.1% 1.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.2%
Emma Shakespeare 4.5% 6.1% 6.4% 6.2% 6.4% 5.0% 6.5% 6.6% 7.2% 8.3% 6.8% 6.4% 7.1% 7.5% 5.1% 3.9%
Lucia Loosbrock 6.8% 5.6% 7.9% 7.4% 6.3% 6.6% 8.7% 8.3% 7.1% 8.0% 7.0% 5.9% 5.1% 4.9% 2.7% 1.7%
Ella Withington 9.2% 8.1% 7.6% 10.5% 9.1% 7.6% 7.1% 8.1% 7.9% 6.1% 4.9% 5.5% 3.8% 3.0% 1.1% 0.4%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 6.3% 8.6% 7.2% 8.1% 7.3% 9.8% 7.8% 7.5% 6.7% 6.5% 6.8% 5.8% 4.5% 4.0% 2.2% 0.9%
Talia Toland 15.9% 13.9% 13.7% 11.1% 10.4% 9.3% 6.4% 4.4% 4.3% 3.4% 3.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Kiera Oreardon 6.8% 5.8% 5.8% 5.1% 6.4% 7.5% 7.6% 6.4% 7.3% 6.6% 6.9% 7.5% 7.7% 6.2% 4.4% 2.0%
Caroline Sandoval 3.7% 4.7% 4.6% 5.3% 4.4% 5.5% 5.4% 7.5% 6.2% 6.5% 6.7% 8.7% 8.0% 9.4% 8.1% 5.3%
Clara Guarascio 2.3% 2.6% 3.4% 2.2% 3.3% 2.7% 3.9% 4.6% 5.3% 5.3% 6.0% 9.0% 8.2% 11.1% 13.3% 16.8%
Hailey Feinzig 5.7% 5.0% 5.6% 5.3% 6.3% 5.3% 6.0% 7.2% 6.7% 10.0% 8.7% 7.3% 7.2% 6.2% 4.9% 2.6%
Jenna Probst 12.1% 10.2% 10.4% 8.9% 9.9% 9.9% 7.3% 6.9% 6.8% 4.3% 4.9% 3.4% 2.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Lucy Paskoff 3.0% 4.0% 2.4% 3.5% 3.7% 4.9% 5.0% 6.1% 6.1% 5.7% 6.4% 6.4% 9.3% 9.4% 11.7% 12.4%
Audrey Commerford 2.5% 2.4% 4.0% 4.5% 4.0% 5.2% 5.5% 5.1% 5.5% 5.8% 7.2% 9.1% 8.6% 9.2% 11.7% 9.7%
Megan Gimple 4.7% 5.0% 4.6% 5.8% 5.6% 6.9% 6.9% 7.2% 7.8% 6.5% 6.9% 7.8% 8.2% 7.0% 5.5% 3.6%
Katelon Egan 1.6% 1.9% 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.9% 2.8% 3.1% 3.6% 4.7% 4.4% 4.8% 7.2% 10.2% 16.5% 32.5%
Ashley Delisser 2.4% 3.7% 3.9% 4.1% 3.9% 3.7% 5.9% 4.9% 7.1% 7.1% 8.6% 7.1% 10.1% 8.4% 11.2% 7.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.