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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+4.45vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+5.12vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.30+5.44vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan2.03+1.99vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.07+7.71vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.00+3.57vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.24+1.72vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.40-0.08vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.40-4.35vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85-3.47vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.52-3.37vs Predicted
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12University of Miami0.85-1.99vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.17-4.12vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.76-3.71vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.72-4.35vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.49-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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7.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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8.44University of Wisconsin1.300.1%1st Place
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5.99University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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12.71University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
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9.57Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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8.72University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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7.92College of Charleston1.400.1%1st Place
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4.65Tufts University2.400.2%1st Place
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6.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
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7.63Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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10.01University of Miami0.850.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.65Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.45SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 11.4% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Jenna Probst | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 33.2% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Talia Toland | 17.2% | 15.5% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ella Withington | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Ashley Delisser | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% |
| Megan Gimple | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 9.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 10.7% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.