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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.50+6.91vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.50+5.93vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+7.55vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+3.76vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+3.70vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.08+3.98vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.92-0.62vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.71-0.89vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.23+0.38vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.79-3.13vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.86-0.13vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-3.85vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.29-3.86vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.79-2.90vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.72-3.82vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.41-3.53vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.67-9.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.91Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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7.93Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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7.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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8.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.98Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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6.38University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.11Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.38Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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6.87Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.87University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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9.14University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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11.1University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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11.18Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
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12.47Eckerd College2.410.0%1st Place
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7.51Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Maxwell | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% |
| Caroline Patten | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
| Eliza Richartz | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 11.4% |
| Mayumi Roller | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% |
| Amanda Johnson | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 12.0% |
| Meghan Pesch | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 13.0% |
| Sky Adams (Brown Sailor) | 2.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 24.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.