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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.98+1.60vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+1.38vs Predicted
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3Cornell University0.82+1.00vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.77-1.45vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.41-0.40vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Fordham University1.9828.3%1st Place
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3.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2715.6%1st Place
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4.0Cornell University0.8211.2%1st Place
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2.55University of Pennsylvania1.7727.7%1st Place
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4.6SUNY Maritime College0.415.6%1st Place
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3.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.9911.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Zils | 28.3% | 23.6% | 22.1% | 14.9% | 7.9% | 3.1% |
| James Kopack | 15.6% | 17.6% | 18.9% | 20.0% | 16.8% | 11.1% |
| Amelia Neumann | 11.2% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 18.3% | 23.3% | 22.9% |
| Sofia Segalla | 27.7% | 27.7% | 19.4% | 14.7% | 8.6% | 1.9% |
| Ben Hosford | 5.6% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 21.1% | 41.2% |
| Reed McAllister | 11.6% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 19.1% | 22.4% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.