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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+5.20vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.91+2.97vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.44+3.53vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.67+5.18vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.77+0.67vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+1.74vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-1.99vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.17-0.50vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.86-0.52vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.01+1.32vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.45-1.08vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.20-4.44vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.08-1.87vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.57-7.89vs Predicted
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16University of Miami-0.62-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.1%1st Place
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4.97University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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6.53Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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9.18Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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5.67Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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7.74University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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5.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.5College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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11.32SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Rhode Island0.450.0%1st Place
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7.56Roger Williams University1.200.1%1st Place
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11.13University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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6.11Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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12.66University of Miami-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camille McGriff | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Sydney Monahan | 14.2% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Ashley Arruda | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 5.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 10.8% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 13.6% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Mary Castellini | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Morgan Essex | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 21.2% | 18.7% |
| Sadie Thomas | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 9.3% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 5.9% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 16.9% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 16.3% | 43.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.