Race 3B

women-atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Tiare Sierra 9.4% 8.4% 9.2% 8.0% 8.4% 8.6% 8.2% 8.1% 6.7% 7.6% 5.9% 5.3% 3.6% 1.6% 1.0%
Lucy Brock 13.3% 16.4% 11.5% 10.7% 9.2% 8.7% 8.5% 6.1% 5.7% 3.5% 3.4% 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Michaela ODonnell 6.9% 6.4% 6.9% 6.6% 7.7% 7.6% 8.3% 8.2% 8.3% 9.0% 8.2% 6.7% 5.0% 2.9% 1.3%
Fredrikke Foss 6.5% 5.5% 7.2% 7.2% 8.4% 8.2% 7.5% 6.7% 7.9% 7.8% 7.9% 8.9% 5.5% 3.9% 0.9%
Ashley Arruda 4.0% 3.7% 4.0% 5.4% 4.5% 4.5% 7.2% 6.6% 6.1% 7.3% 9.7% 11.3% 11.4% 9.0% 5.3%
Sydney Monahan 12.1% 13.4% 11.2% 11.2% 11.5% 9.4% 7.9% 5.5% 7.1% 4.9% 3.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Molly Coghlin 7.3% 5.0% 5.8% 6.2% 7.3% 6.7% 7.8% 8.9% 8.9% 9.0% 8.3% 6.4% 6.9% 3.7% 1.8%
Camille McGriff 9.4% 8.5% 11.5% 7.9% 7.2% 8.6% 8.0% 10.1% 7.5% 7.0% 5.5% 4.3% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5%
Elizabeth Cutler 9.5% 8.5% 10.5% 9.5% 9.5% 8.1% 8.4% 8.4% 8.0% 6.7% 6.0% 3.1% 2.3% 1.3% 0.2%
Abbie Carlson 9.9% 12.3% 9.2% 12.0% 8.9% 9.9% 8.6% 7.4% 5.7% 6.1% 4.2% 2.6% 2.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Morgan Essex 2.0% 1.8% 1.6% 2.3% 2.5% 3.8% 2.9% 4.8% 4.8% 5.5% 8.0% 9.6% 12.8% 19.0% 18.6%
Mary Castellini 3.9% 3.2% 4.7% 5.6% 7.1% 5.6% 6.0% 6.9% 7.9% 9.7% 9.0% 9.8% 9.7% 8.5% 2.4%
Sadie Thomas 2.4% 4.2% 2.8% 3.3% 3.9% 4.0% 4.8% 5.8% 7.0% 6.3% 8.9% 10.9% 13.5% 12.3% 9.9%
Elizabeth Amelotte 2.3% 1.9% 2.5% 2.6% 2.5% 4.3% 3.9% 3.9% 5.8% 6.1% 6.7% 10.8% 13.4% 19.1% 14.2%
Julianna Skoglund 1.1% 0.8% 1.4% 1.5% 1.4% 2.0% 2.0% 2.6% 2.6% 3.5% 5.1% 7.7% 8.7% 15.9% 43.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.