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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.57+5.16vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+5.56vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.44+3.49vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+2.22vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.17+2.61vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.77-0.47vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-1.94vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.67+1.19vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.20-1.68vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.01+1.27vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.91-5.79vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.45-1.87vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.08-1.88vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.86-5.51vs Predicted
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15University of Miami-0.62-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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7.56University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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6.49Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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6.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.1%1st Place
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7.61College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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5.53Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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9.19Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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7.32Roger Williams University1.200.1%1st Place
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11.27SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
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5.21University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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10.13University of Rhode Island0.450.0%1st Place
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11.12University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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12.64University of Miami-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Cutler | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Camille McGriff | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Abbie Carlson | 12.1% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 13.9% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Arruda | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 3.9% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 18.9% | 19.3% |
| Sydney Monahan | 13.0% | 15.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Thomas | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 8.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 17.9% |
| Mary Castellini | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 17.4% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.