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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+3.95vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.44+4.37vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.45+6.77vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.08+6.96vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.77+0.60vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.86+2.56vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.20+0.29vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.91-2.86vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-1.41vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.58-0.45vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.01+0.22vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.57-5.63vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54-7.50vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.17-7.53vs Predicted
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16University of Miami-0.62-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.37Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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9.77University of Rhode Island0.450.0%1st Place
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10.96University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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5.6Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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8.56University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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7.29Roger Williams University1.200.1%1st Place
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5.14University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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7.59University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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9.55Northeastern University0.580.0%1st Place
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11.22SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
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6.37Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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6.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.1%1st Place
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7.47College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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12.67University of Miami-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 14.0% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Sadie Thomas | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 7.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 19.1% | 15.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 12.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Sydney Monahan | 14.3% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Krim | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 6.3% |
| Morgan Essex | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 19.3% | 18.6% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Camille McGriff | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.