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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.44+5.59vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+4.14vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.77+2.53vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+1.06vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.67+4.25vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.08+5.07vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.57-0.82vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.20-0.52vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.17-1.52vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.45+0.01vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.91-5.73vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.86-3.15vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.01-1.53vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-7.28vs Predicted
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16University of Miami-0.25-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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6.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.1%1st Place
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5.53Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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9.25Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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11.07University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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6.18Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University1.200.1%1st Place
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7.48College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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10.01University of Rhode Island0.450.0%1st Place
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5.27University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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8.85University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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11.47SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
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7.72University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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11.89University of Miami-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiare Sierra | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Camille McGriff | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 14.0% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Arruda | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 5.7% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 18.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 10.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Sadie Thomas | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 13.3% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 4.3% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 24.2% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Laura Johnston | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 16.4% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.