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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.03vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.44+4.44vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.77+2.51vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+2.27vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.08+6.03vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.91-0.92vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.67+2.22vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.45+2.00vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.01+2.30vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.57-3.68vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.17-3.43vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-3.96vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.20-6.32vs Predicted
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15University of Miami-0.25-3.06vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.86-7.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.44Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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5.51Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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6.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.1%1st Place
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11.03University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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5.08University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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9.22Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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10.0University of Rhode Island0.450.0%1st Place
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11.3SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
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6.32Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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7.57College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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8.04University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.0%1st Place
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7.68Roger Williams University1.200.1%1st Place
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11.94University of Miami-0.250.0%1st Place
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8.57University of Wisconsin0.860.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 13.8% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 7.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Abbie Carlson | 13.3% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Camille McGriff | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 18.0% | 19.4% |
| Sydney Monahan | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Arruda | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% |
| Sadie Thomas | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 9.4% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 19.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% |
| Laura Johnston | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 31.8% |
| Mary Castellini | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.