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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.77+4.45vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+4.04vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.44+3.52vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.17+3.50vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.13vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.20+1.39vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.91-1.96vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.08+3.02vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.01+2.27vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.45-0.06vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-3.26vs Predicted
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12University of Miami-0.62+0.93vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.57-6.59vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.67-5.87vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.86-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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6.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.1%1st Place
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6.52Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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7.5College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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5.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.39Roger Williams University1.200.1%1st Place
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5.04University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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11.02University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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11.27SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.94University of Rhode Island0.450.0%1st Place
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7.74University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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12.93University of Miami-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.41Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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9.13Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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8.47University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbie Carlson | 12.0% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Camille McGriff | 9.2% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 12.6% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Sydney Monahan | 14.5% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 15.4% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 18.7% | 17.9% |
| Sadie Thomas | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 8.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 45.9% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Arruda | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 4.3% |
| Mary Castellini | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.