Race 10B

women-atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Abbie Carlson 12.3% 11.6% 11.5% 10.2% 10.8% 7.9% 7.9% 6.7% 6.5% 4.8% 3.4% 3.1% 1.4% 1.6% 0.3%
Lucy Brock 13.9% 15.6% 10.7% 10.8% 11.2% 9.9% 6.3% 5.9% 5.8% 4.3% 2.6% 1.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Tiare Sierra 7.8% 8.7% 8.6% 9.8% 6.3% 8.4% 10.0% 8.0% 8.4% 8.5% 6.3% 4.6% 2.3% 2.0% 0.3%
Camille McGriff 8.6% 9.4% 9.5% 10.1% 8.6% 9.0% 7.1% 9.0% 7.5% 6.7% 5.3% 3.9% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3%
Michaela ODonnell 6.4% 6.8% 6.8% 6.2% 7.4% 7.4% 8.2% 8.5% 7.9% 9.0% 8.5% 7.1% 4.6% 4.2% 1.0%
Elizabeth Amelotte 2.1% 2.2% 2.5% 2.9% 3.1% 2.4% 3.1% 4.3% 5.3% 6.5% 6.9% 10.4% 14.3% 19.9% 14.1%
Elizabeth Cutler 10.4% 7.1% 9.8% 8.8% 10.0% 9.8% 8.8% 8.9% 7.3% 5.9% 4.6% 4.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3%
Fredrikke Foss 6.7% 5.3% 7.5% 7.7% 6.7% 6.5% 8.9% 7.1% 8.0% 8.0% 9.8% 7.4% 4.8% 3.7% 1.9%
Sydney Monahan 12.4% 13.0% 12.5% 12.0% 8.8% 9.7% 9.1% 6.9% 5.9% 4.5% 2.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Sadie Thomas 3.1% 2.8% 2.6% 3.6% 3.8% 4.6% 6.0% 6.3% 7.1% 7.7% 9.3% 11.2% 13.0% 11.1% 7.8%
Julianna Skoglund 0.9% 1.5% 1.0% 1.0% 1.3% 1.5% 2.1% 3.2% 3.8% 2.4% 3.9% 8.0% 8.1% 17.1% 44.2%
Morgan Essex 1.7% 1.5% 2.2% 1.6% 2.2% 2.5% 3.3% 3.5% 5.5% 6.2% 6.9% 9.0% 14.7% 19.3% 19.9%
Molly Coghlin 5.1% 6.0% 6.2% 5.0% 7.0% 7.2% 7.1% 7.6% 8.0% 9.7% 9.6% 7.7% 7.2% 4.5% 2.1%
Ashley Arruda 3.8% 3.5% 3.7% 4.8% 6.6% 6.3% 5.4% 7.2% 5.8% 7.7% 11.0% 10.4% 11.4% 7.6% 4.8%
Mary Castellini 4.8% 5.0% 4.9% 5.5% 6.2% 6.9% 6.7% 6.9% 7.2% 8.1% 9.4% 9.6% 9.6% 6.2% 3.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.