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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.17+6.32vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.91+2.92vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+4.57vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+1.02vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.08+5.89vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.44+0.49vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.95+1.12vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54-1.77vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.58-0.66vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.77-5.45vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.86-3.49vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.01-1.59vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.45-4.00vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.57-8.95vs Predicted
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16University of Miami-0.62-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.32College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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4.92University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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7.57University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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5.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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10.89University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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6.49Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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8.12Roger Williams University0.950.1%1st Place
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6.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.1%1st Place
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9.34Northeastern University0.580.0%1st Place
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5.55Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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8.51University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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11.41SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.0University of Rhode Island0.450.0%1st Place
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6.05Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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12.57University of Miami-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrikke Foss | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Sydney Monahan | 13.4% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 14.5% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 16.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Camille McGriff | 9.1% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Krim | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 4.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Mary Castellini | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 19.2% | 18.8% |
| Sadie Thomas | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 9.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 16.7% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.