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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.79+5.79vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.50+5.98vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.71+4.25vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.67+3.48vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.29+3.77vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+3.08vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.72+4.23vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-0.43vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.41+3.55vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.08-0.33vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-2.66vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.43vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.86-2.18vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.79-2.87vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.50-6.91vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.92-9.54vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.23-7.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.98Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.25Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.48Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.77University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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11.23Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
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7.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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12.55Eckerd College2.410.0%1st Place
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9.67Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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8.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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10.57U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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11.13University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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8.09Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.23Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Barry | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Meghan Pesch | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.9% |
| Caroline Patten | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Sky Adams (Brown Sailor) | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 25.5% |
| Eliza Richartz | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% |
| Mayumi Roller | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.1% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.0% |
| Emily Maxwell | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.