← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.38+0.74vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92+1.38vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.06vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University0.80-0.44vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College-0.52+0.09vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania1.16-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.74Cornell University2.3851.5%1st Place
-
3.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9212.4%1st Place
-
4.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.297.8%1st Place
-
3.56Fordham University0.8011.1%1st Place
-
5.09SUNY Maritime College-0.523.0%1st Place
-
3.17University of Pennsylvania1.1614.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 51.5% | 28.7% | 14.6% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Deana Fedulova | 12.4% | 18.9% | 20.6% | 22.4% | 17.4% | 8.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 7.8% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 20.0% | 27.9% | 18.9% |
| Rebecca Keller | 11.1% | 15.4% | 20.0% | 22.4% | 22.0% | 9.0% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 17.4% | 58.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 14.1% | 21.4% | 23.8% | 20.5% | 14.6% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.