Race 12B

women-atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Tiare Sierra 9.2% 8.5% 9.7% 8.7% 8.8% 7.7% 7.8% 8.4% 8.3% 6.8% 5.5% 4.8% 2.7% 2.3% 0.8%
Camille McGriff 8.5% 12.1% 9.8% 10.3% 8.2% 8.4% 8.5% 7.4% 8.0% 6.0% 5.0% 4.2% 2.0% 1.3% 0.3%
Lucy Brock 14.6% 13.3% 12.2% 11.1% 10.0% 8.7% 9.0% 6.5% 6.0% 3.1% 2.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Sydney Monahan 14.5% 13.5% 11.6% 10.2% 9.4% 8.6% 8.7% 7.1% 5.6% 4.1% 3.7% 1.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Caylin Schnoor 5.9% 5.2% 5.3% 6.0% 5.1% 6.8% 7.6% 6.8% 8.1% 8.8% 9.5% 8.4% 7.4% 5.6% 3.5%
Abbie Carlson 11.2% 11.4% 10.7% 9.8% 11.5% 11.0% 8.0% 7.2% 6.0% 4.8% 4.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Sadie Thomas 3.8% 2.7% 4.5% 3.3% 4.0% 4.5% 5.5% 6.1% 6.2% 8.8% 7.2% 11.2% 11.0% 13.5% 7.7%
Fredrikke Foss 6.2% 6.7% 6.5% 8.4% 6.7% 8.2% 6.6% 9.1% 7.0% 8.7% 8.2% 7.2% 5.8% 3.7% 1.0%
Elizabeth Amelotte 1.5% 2.0% 2.1% 3.0% 2.7% 3.6% 3.8% 5.7% 5.9% 6.1% 8.1% 11.5% 13.9% 16.3% 13.8%
Elizabeth Cutler 8.2% 8.7% 11.1% 8.8% 9.8% 8.8% 8.3% 7.9% 8.6% 6.3% 5.5% 3.5% 2.3% 1.8% 0.4%
Morgan Essex 1.9% 1.7% 2.0% 2.3% 3.5% 3.6% 3.6% 4.0% 4.9% 6.1% 7.3% 9.3% 13.0% 17.1% 19.7%
Lauren Krim 2.7% 2.3% 3.0% 5.0% 5.6% 5.6% 5.0% 6.8% 6.0% 8.9% 9.5% 9.1% 13.4% 10.9% 6.2%
Molly Coghlin 5.8% 5.6% 5.0% 7.5% 6.5% 6.4% 7.5% 7.2% 9.4% 9.7% 9.2% 8.1% 7.1% 2.6% 2.4%
Julianna Skoglund 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.9% 2.1% 1.9% 2.3% 2.2% 2.7% 4.3% 5.2% 6.7% 9.6% 18.0% 41.2%
Mary Castellini 5.2% 5.1% 5.6% 4.7% 6.1% 6.2% 7.8% 7.6% 7.3% 7.5% 9.5% 9.5% 9.4% 5.8% 2.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.