Race 13B

women-atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Tiare Sierra 9.1% 8.9% 9.6% 8.5% 9.1% 7.8% 8.9% 8.0% 6.1% 6.3% 7.3% 3.9% 3.7% 1.9% 0.9%
Sydney Monahan 14.7% 13.3% 12.9% 9.8% 9.8% 10.2% 7.2% 7.1% 5.7% 4.2% 1.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Morgan Essex 1.9% 1.9% 2.5% 3.0% 2.9% 3.7% 4.1% 3.9% 3.6% 6.2% 7.4% 9.1% 13.1% 18.2% 18.5%
Elizabeth Cutler 9.1% 9.7% 11.1% 9.3% 9.6% 7.7% 7.8% 8.9% 7.0% 5.7% 5.5% 4.5% 2.6% 1.3% 0.2%
Abbie Carlson 12.9% 11.2% 9.0% 10.7% 10.0% 9.2% 8.3% 7.7% 6.3% 4.6% 4.3% 2.7% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Molly Coghlin 5.0% 6.8% 6.0% 6.9% 5.9% 7.3% 9.5% 7.6% 9.0% 10.0% 7.6% 7.8% 6.3% 3.7% 0.6%
Elizabeth Amelotte 3.5% 1.8% 2.7% 2.7% 2.1% 3.8% 3.5% 4.6% 4.9% 7.2% 7.2% 10.4% 12.9% 17.3% 15.4%
Lucy Brock 13.8% 13.6% 11.9% 10.8% 9.4% 8.6% 8.4% 7.0% 5.8% 4.3% 2.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Caylin Schnoor 4.2% 4.4% 5.7% 6.7% 7.6% 7.0% 7.7% 7.9% 9.2% 8.7% 9.7% 7.5% 6.7% 5.2% 1.8%
Julianna Skoglund 0.9% 0.9% 1.7% 1.0% 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 2.3% 2.4% 3.5% 5.9% 6.8% 9.7% 16.2% 43.7%
Lauren Krim 3.6% 3.1% 4.0% 5.0% 5.7% 4.4% 6.2% 6.3% 7.5% 7.5% 7.8% 10.7% 10.7% 10.3% 7.2%
Camille McGriff 8.0% 8.3% 9.7% 9.5% 8.9% 8.8% 6.8% 9.5% 7.6% 7.7% 6.6% 4.0% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4%
Fredrikke Foss 6.2% 6.9% 5.2% 6.7% 6.8% 8.0% 7.8% 7.0% 10.0% 7.4% 8.8% 8.8% 5.8% 3.4% 1.2%
Mary Castellini 4.3% 4.7% 5.4% 5.4% 6.6% 6.4% 7.1% 6.0% 8.3% 9.5% 8.4% 9.9% 8.3% 7.2% 2.5%
Sadie Thomas 2.8% 4.5% 2.6% 4.0% 4.0% 5.4% 5.0% 6.2% 6.6% 7.2% 8.9% 9.6% 12.8% 13.0% 7.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.