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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.91+4.00vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.44+4.39vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.08+7.82vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.77+1.46vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.51+4.64vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.57+0.12vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54-0.86vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.95+0.19vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-1.42vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.01+1.28vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.58-1.55vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-6.80vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.86-4.29vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.17-6.58vs Predicted
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15University of Miami-0.62-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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6.39Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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10.82University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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5.46Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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9.64University of Rhode Island0.510.0%1st Place
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6.12Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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6.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.1%1st Place
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8.19Roger Williams University0.950.1%1st Place
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7.58University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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11.28SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.45Northeastern University0.580.0%1st Place
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5.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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7.42College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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12.61University of Miami-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Monahan | 13.5% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 7.9% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 15.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 6.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Camille McGriff | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Morgan Essex | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 19.2% | 17.9% |
| Lauren Krim | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 7.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 16.4% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.