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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.44+5.42vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+2.87vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.08+7.85vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.77+1.47vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.17+2.48vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.01+5.20vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.91-1.92vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.86+0.45vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54-2.92vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.95-1.76vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.57-4.80vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.51-2.16vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-5.12vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.58-4.66vs Predicted
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16University of Miami-0.62-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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4.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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10.85University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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5.47Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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7.48College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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11.2SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
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5.08University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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8.45University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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6.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.1%1st Place
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8.24Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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6.2Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Rhode Island0.510.0%1st Place
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7.88University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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9.34Northeastern University0.580.0%1st Place
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12.6University of Miami-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiare Sierra | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 14.0% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 18.7% | 15.4% |
| Abbie Carlson | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Morgan Essex | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 19.4% | 16.8% |
| Sydney Monahan | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Camille McGriff | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 7.3% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Lauren Krim | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 5.1% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 44.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.