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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.44+5.44vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.77+3.35vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+1.92vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.91+1.07vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.51+4.61vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.08+4.97vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+0.63vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.95+0.22vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.17-1.65vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.58-0.55vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.57-4.79vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College-0.01-0.61vs Predicted
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13University of Miami-0.62-0.22vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.86-5.56vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54-9.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.44Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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5.35Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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4.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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5.07University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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9.61University of Rhode Island0.510.0%1st Place
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10.97University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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7.63University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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8.22Roger Williams University0.950.1%1st Place
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7.35College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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9.45Northeastern University0.580.0%1st Place
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6.21Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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11.39SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
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12.78University of Miami-0.620.0%1st Place
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8.44University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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6.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiare Sierra | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Abbie Carlson | 11.6% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 13.7% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 12.9% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Fraser | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 6.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 15.4% |
| Molly Coghlin | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Lauren Krim | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 5.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Morgan Essex | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 14.2% | 20.4% | 18.1% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 16.3% | 45.8% |
| Mary Castellini | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Camille McGriff | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.