Race 1A

mass-maritime-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Wilson Kaznoski 8.7% 7.4% 10.0% 11.5% 11.7% 12.1% 12.0% 11.8% 6.7% 4.8% 2.5% 0.8%
Joshua Bartoszuk 29.4% 24.0% 18.8% 11.1% 6.7% 5.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grant Adam 14.7% 15.0% 15.2% 13.6% 12.6% 11.2% 8.4% 5.1% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Andy Leshaw 2.8% 4.0% 4.7% 5.5% 8.9% 8.1% 10.8% 12.7% 13.4% 10.7% 11.8% 6.6%
Sam Monaghan 15.5% 15.7% 18.0% 11.4% 11.7% 11.3% 6.4% 5.0% 2.7% 2.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Joshua Dillon 11.3% 12.8% 12.1% 13.8% 12.2% 11.9% 9.3% 7.4% 5.0% 2.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Gregory Dillon 3.9% 5.4% 4.3% 7.0% 7.6% 9.0% 9.9% 11.2% 13.4% 12.1% 10.7% 5.5%
Nicholas Dreyer 2.9% 3.9% 4.6% 4.6% 6.1% 6.8% 7.7% 10.8% 11.2% 16.2% 15.1% 10.1%
Timothy Burns 3.7% 3.9% 5.0% 8.2% 8.4% 8.9% 12.7% 11.0% 11.6% 12.8% 9.6% 4.2%
Ian McCaffrey 1.2% 1.0% 1.9% 3.0% 2.6% 2.5% 3.4% 5.6% 9.2% 10.3% 19.0% 40.3%
Felix Nusbaum 1.7% 1.7% 1.3% 2.2% 3.7% 4.3% 5.0% 6.6% 10.6% 13.3% 21.1% 28.5%
Izaiah Farr 4.2% 5.2% 4.1% 8.1% 7.8% 8.5% 11.1% 12.0% 12.8% 13.9% 8.5% 3.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.